For the first time in years, the numbers say Victoria is in a buyer's market.
The Victoria Real Estate Board's September report showed 463 sales across the region, down 16.4 per cent from September last year and down almost 22 per cent from August. At the same time, active listings climbed to 3,811, up 3.2 per cent from a year ago. When listings pile up faster than homes sell, the balance shifts toward buyers.
The Board's chair put it plainly: inventory outpaced sales to a degree we haven't seen in a long time, and outside the pandemic years it's the first time since January 2015 the market has tipped into buyer's territory. He was also careful to say one month doesn't make a trend. I agree with both points.
What prices are doing
Prices haven't dropped off a cliff. The benchmark price for a single family home in the Victoria core was $1,280,100 in September, about 2 per cent lower than a year ago. The benchmark for a core condo was $547,800, actually up 1 per cent from last year.
So this isn't a crash. It's a market where buyers have more choice and more time, and sellers have to be more realistic.
One number explains it best. Only about 15 per cent of active listings sold in September. The BC Real Estate Association's rule of thumb for Victoria is that anything under 17 per cent means downward pressure on prices, and anything between 17 and 28 per cent is balanced. We've been in that balanced range for most of the last two years. September dipped below it.
What it looks like where you live
Here's the benchmark price for a single family home in some of the areas I work most, compared to a year ago:
- Saanich East: $1,309,500, down 1.7 per cent
- Saanich West: $1,041,400, down 4.2 per cent
- Oak Bay: $1,726,800, down 3.0 per cent
- Central Saanich: $1,187,600, down 2.0 per cent
- North Saanich: $1,471,800, down 1.8 per cent
- Sidney: $1,010,400, essentially flat
- Langford: $1,051,100, down 1.1 per cent
Condos are holding up better. The benchmark condo in Saanich East is $594,100, up 3.2 per cent from last year, and in Sidney it's $656,300, up 4.1 per cent. Townhouses in the core sit at $829,400, down 1.7 per cent.
The takeaway: single family homes have softened a little almost everywhere, while condos have been steadier. Every neighbourhood and price range is a bit different, which is why the general headlines only tell you so much.
If you're buying
This is the best footing buyers have had in a while.
- You can take your time. Fewer homes are selling in multiple offers, so you can view, think it over and come back.
- You can write subjects. Financing, inspection and strata document reviews are back to normal. Don't skip them.
- You can negotiate. Price, possession date and inclusions are all on the table, especially on homes that have been sitting.
- Get pre-approved first. Being ready to move is still your best advantage when the right place comes up.
One more thing: inventory usually drops as we head into winter. If you're serious, the selection right now is about as good as it will get until spring.
If you're selling
You can still sell well in this market. You just can't guess at the price.
- Price it right from day one. Buyers are comparing a lot of listings. An overpriced home sits, and a home that sits ends up selling for less than it would have at the right price.
- Look at what's actually selling, not just what's listed. Asking prices on unsold homes don't tell you much.
- Presentation matters more now. Good photos, a floor plan and a clean, well-prepared home help you stand out when buyers have options.
- Be flexible on dates and terms where you can.
The bottom line
One soft month doesn't mean prices are about to fall apart. It does mean the days of listing anywhere and getting multiple offers are behind us for now. Whether you're buying or selling, decisions should be based on what's selling in your neighbourhood and price range, not the headlines.
If you're thinking about a move and want to know what your home would realistically sell for, or what you can buy for your budget right now, give me a call.
Dan Juricic, REALTOR®
RE/MAX Camosun | 250-514-8261
Source: Victoria Real Estate Board, September 2026 market report.
